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GPS data from participating groups in the Cologne Rose Monday parade are analyzed. The preparation of the measured data requires a correction of the data by a specially adapted algorithm for the map-matching method. A higher average velocity is observed for the last participant, the carnival prince, than for the head of the parade. This prince paradox can be explained by the the constant moving vehicle driving ahead of the parade leaving the train path. In addition, the influence of the route on the traffic kinematics of the parade is examined. Some areas can be determined in which the parade shows velocities below or above the average. Based on the results of the data analysis, for the first time a model can be established for parading groups as a modified Nagel-Schreckenberg model. The characteristics observed in the data analysis can be reproduced by this model in simulations. Furthermore, the train group model is expanded in a second simulation in order to adjust the average velocity of the prince.

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Petros Polichronidis, Universitaet Duisburg-Essen
Seminarraum 0.02 (Neubau)
Contact: Andreas Schadschneider